Akron vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

  • UAB is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Akron
  • Akron vs. UAB Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Akron (0-2) visit Protective Stadium to take on UAB (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Birmingham, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT.

UAB is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Akron vs. UAB Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Akron vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+11.5 -11055.5 -110350
UAB -11.5 -11055.5 -110-475

Akron vs UAB Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UAB will win this game with 74.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and UAB, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs UAB Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 116% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Akron is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Akron is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Akron is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UAB is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • UAB is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • UAB is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Akron was winless (0-2) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .622

Akron is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Akron was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Akron was winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB is winless (0-8) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .482

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UAB is winless (0-8) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .430

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. UAB

UAB’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 56 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.1% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 551 passing yards in 2 games (275.5 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS teams. Akron’s defense has allowed 377.0 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 551 yards on 40 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — 24th-best among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has 144 receptions in 14 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 9.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has gained 2,069 yards on 144 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed 15.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has 144 receptions in 14 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 14.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron’s WRs has 144 receptions in 14 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 9.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Akron WRs have been targeted 13 times in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

Akron’s WRs has gained 2,069 yards on 144 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed 15.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has 144 receptions in 14 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 14.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has 144 receptions in 14 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 14.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — best among NonP5 defenses.

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 56 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.1% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 551 passing yards in 2 games (275.5 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS teams. Akron’s defense has allowed 377.0 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 551 yards on 40 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — 24th-best among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB’s offense has thrown for 568 passing yards in 2 games (284.0 YPG) this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 377.0 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

UAB’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 56 attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.1% of attempts this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Akron has intercepted 4 of 419 attempts (104.8 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.7

Akron has allowed 7.2 touchdowns per interception (29 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

UAB Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has allowed 4 TD passes this season– T-4th-most in FBS

UAB tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 505 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

UAB tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 94 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UAB has allowed first downs on 58% of pass attempts this season– worst in FBS; Average: 29%

UAB has allowed 17.3 yards per completion (312 yards/18 completions) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2


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