- Toledo is a -21 point favorite vs. Akron
- Akron vs. Toledo Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Akron (1-3) visit Glass Bowl to take on Toledo (2-2) on Sep. 27 in Toledo, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -21 (-110).
The Akron vs. Toledo Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Akron vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Akron | +21 -110 | 49.5 -115 | 900 |
| Toledo | -21 -110 | 49.5 -105 | -1600 |
Akron vs Toledo Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 88.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Toledo, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Akron vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Akron Best Bets Today
- Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Akron have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Toledo Best Bets Today
- Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Akron is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Akron is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -16.95% ROI
- Akron is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Akron is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Toledo is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -54.55% ROI
- Toledo is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Toledo is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s QBs has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Akron QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Akron
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo WRs averaged just 6.1 yards per reception (55 yards/9 catches) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6
Toledo RBs have averaged just 4.2 Yards per Carry (1,877 yards/442 carries) since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo RBs had no touchdowns on 42 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Toledo
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo WRs averaged just 6.1 yards per reception (55 yards/9 catches) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6
Toledo RBs have averaged just 4.2 Yards per Carry (1,877 yards/442 carries) since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo RBs had no touchdowns on 42 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s QBs has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Akron QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Akron Offensive Stats & Trends
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s QBs has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Akron QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo WRs averaged just 6.1 yards per reception (55 yards/9 catches) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6
Toledo RBs have averaged just 4.2 Yards per Carry (1,877 yards/442 carries) since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo RBs had no touchdowns on 42 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Akron Defensive Stats & Trends
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Akron’s offense has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s QBs has thrown for 732 passing yards in 4 games (just 183.0 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 145.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Akron QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends
Toledo TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo WRs averaged just 6.1 yards per reception (55 yards/9 catches) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6
Toledo RBs have averaged just 4.2 Yards per Carry (1,877 yards/442 carries) since the 2024 season– T-6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo RBs had no touchdowns on 42 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.1 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
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