Air Force vs San Jose St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • San Jose St is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Air Force
  • Air Force vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Air Force (2-6) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on San Jose State (3-5) on Nov. 8 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST.

San Jose St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Air Force vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 66.5 total points.

Bet now on San Jose St vs Air Force & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Air Force vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+5.5 -11066.5 -110180
San Jose State -5.5 -11066.5 -110-220

Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Air Force vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on San Jose St vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM


  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -28.81% ROI).

  • Air Force is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -73.04% ROI
  • Air Force is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Air Force is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.3

San Jose State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 receiving yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

Air Force is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Air Force was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .473

Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. San Jose State

Air Force is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Air Force was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .473

San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.3

San Jose State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 receiving yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.3

San Jose State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 receiving yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

Air Force is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Air Force was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .473

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.3

San Jose State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 Passing Yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State has allowed 311.0 receiving yards per game (2,488/8) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 224.0

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends

Air Force is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Air Force was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Air Force was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Air Force is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .473


Bet now on San Jose St vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM


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