Air Force vs Navy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Navy is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Air Force
• Air Force vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Air Force (1-3) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on Navy (4-0) on Oct. 4 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Navy is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Air Force vs. Navy Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Air Force vs Navy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 73.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Air Force vs Navy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Air Force Best Bets Today

• Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.83 Units / 22% ROI)
• Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Air Force have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Navy Best Bets Today

• Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 7% ROI)
• Navy have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Navy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
• Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI).

• Air Force is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -100% ROI
• Air Force is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Air Force is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Navy is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 12.45% ROI
• Navy is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Navy is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Air Force has allowed 64.0 receiving yards per game (192/3) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.6

Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (9/73) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.2

Air Force has averaged a sack every 4.0 pass attempts (8 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 16.7

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Air Force is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Air Force was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. Navy

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Air Force is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Air Force was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Air Force has allowed 64.0 receiving yards per game (192/3) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.6

Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (9/73) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.2

Air Force has averaged a sack every 4.0 pass attempts (8 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 16.7

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Air Force has allowed 64.0 receiving yards per game (192/3) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.6

Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (9/73) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.2

Air Force has averaged a sack every 4.0 pass attempts (8 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 16.7

Navy Offensive Stats & Trends

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Air Force is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Air Force was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Air Force has allowed 64.0 receiving yards per game (192/3) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24.6

Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (9/73) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Air Force has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (766 yards/49 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.2

Air Force has averaged a sack every 4.0 pass attempts (8 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 16.7

Navy Defensive Stats & Trends

Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Air Force was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Air Force is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Air Force was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

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