Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:35 AM

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Connecticut head coach Jim Mora watches before an NCAA college football game against Michigan in Ann Arbor, Mich., Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Connecticut is a -7 point favorite vs. Air Force
Air Force vs. Connecticut Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

Air Force (3-6) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on Connecticut (7-3) on Nov. 15 in East Hartford, CT. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -7 (-120).

The Air Force vs. Connecticut Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Air Force	+7 100	63.5 -110	220
Connecticut	-7 -120	63.5 -110	-275

Air Force vs Connecticut Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Connecticut will win this game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and Connecticut, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Air Force Best Bets Today

Air Force have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Connecticut Best Bets Today

UConn has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
UConn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
UConn has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI).

Air Force is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -49.11% ROI
Air Force is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Air Force is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

UConn was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

UConn was 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .604

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .438

UConn is 5-1 (.833) when forcing and recovering at least one fumble since the 2024 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

Air Force WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (1,043 yards/47 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 6.6 receptions per game (131/20) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Air Force have averaged 19.4 yards per completion (1,360 yards/70 completions) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8

Air Force Skill Players averaged just 5.1 receptions per game (61/12) last season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Air Force have averaged 20.2 yards per completion (668 yards/33 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7

Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. Connecticut