Air Force vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Nov 28, 2025, 10:32 AM

min read

Colorado State coach Jay Norvell watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Air Force on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Air Force is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Colorado St
Air Force vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
TV Channel: FS1

Air Force (3-8) visit Canvas Stadium to take on Colorado State (2-9) on Nov. 28 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Air Force vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

Bet now on Colorado St vs Air Force & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Air Force vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Air Force	-2.5 -110	45.5 -115	-145
Colorado State	+2.5 -110	45.5 -105	120

Air Force vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Air Force vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Colorado St vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

Air Force Best Bets Today

Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Colorado State Best Bets Today

Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Air Force have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.75 Units / -30.86% ROI).

Air Force is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -56.82% ROI
Air Force is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Air Force is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St iss 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

Colorado State is 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -75.77% ROI
Colorado State is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Colorado State is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Colorado State is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .453

Colorado State is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Colorado State is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Colorado State was 6-2 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

Air Force Skill Players have averaged 18.8 yards per reception (1,426 yards/76 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Air Force have gained 40+ yards on 8 of their 76 receptions (10%) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Air Force have gained 20+ yards on 26 of their 76 receptions (34%) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 16%

Air Force Skill Players averaged 17.2 yards per reception (1,048 yards/61 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Air Force TEs averaged 23.8 yards per reception (95 yards/4 catches) last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. Colorado State